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Copenhagen global climate accord fails expectations
by The Guardian & agencies
9:12am 19th Dec, 2009
 
Dec 2009
  
The outline of a weak global climate agreement was last night concluded in Copenhagen, but it fell far short of what many countries were seeking and leaves months of tough negotiations to come.
  
The deal - known as the Copenhagen accord - "recognises" the scientific case for keeping temperature rises to no more than 2C but did not contain commitments to emissions reductions by countries to hit that goal.
  
Even US President Obama admitted, "This progress is not enough," he said, "we have come a long way but we have much further to go".
  
"Climate change threatens us all, therefore we must bridge all divides," he said. "The time has come for us to get off the sidelines and shape the future we seek. "That"s why I believe what we have achieved in Copenhagen will not be the end, but the beginning."
  
The climate accord bitterly disappointed Africa and other vulnerable countries who had been holding out for far deeper emission cuts in order to hold the global temperature rise to 1.5C this century. As widely expected, all references to 1.5C in previous versions of the agreement were removed at the last minute, but more surprisingly, the earlier 2050 goal of reducing global emissions by 80% was also dropped.
  
The agreement also sets up a forestry deal which is hoped to significantly reduce deforestation in return for cash. It also lacked the kind of independent verification of emission reductions by developing countries that the United States and others demand.
  
Britain"s climate change minister Ed Miliband has blamed China for blocking an accord on legally-binding emissions targets and a 50 per cent cut in greenhouse gases by 2050 at the Copenhagen summit.
  
Miliband admitted on Sunday that the results of the Copenhagen conference were "disappointing" but insisted that progress was made in the fight against global warming.
  
"The eventual outcome was disappointing. Efforts to give legal backing to the commitments in the Copenhagen accord met with "impossible resistance from a small number of developing countries, including China, who didn"t want a legal agreement", he said.
  
"If leading countries hold out against something like "legally binding" or against the 2050 target of 50 per cent reductions in carbon emissions - which was held out against by countries like China - you are not going to get the agreement you want."
  
Many observers also blamed the US for coming to the talks with an offer of just 4% emissions cuts on 1990 levels. The final text made no obligations on developing countries to make cuts.
  
Negotiators will now continue to work on individual agreements like forests, technology, finance but without strong leadership the chances are that it will take years to complete.
  
Lumumba Di-Aping, chief negotiator for the G77 group of 130 developing countries, was scathing: "This deal will result in devastation in Africa and small island states. It has the lowest level of ambition you can imagine. It"s nothing short of climate change scepticism in action."
  
John Sauven, executive director of Greenpeace UK said: "The city of Copenhagen is a crime scene tonight, with the guilty men and women fleeing to the airport. There are no targets for carbon cuts and no agreement on a legally binding treaty."
  
"This is a disastrous outcome for people around the world who face increasingly dire impacts from a destabilizing climate", said a spokesperson for Friends of the earth.
  
Lydia Baker, Save the Children"s Policy Adviser said: "By signing a sub-standard deal world leaders have effectively signed a death warrant for many of the world"s poorest children. Up to 250,000 children from poor communities could die before the next major meeting in Mexico at the end of next year."
  
Andrew Hewett, executive director of Oxfam Australia issued the following statement.
  
“It"s hard to see how the Copenhagen Accord delivers justice to people in poor countries that are least responsible for climate change but suffer its impacts right now".
  
"The accord is an empty political statement, shredding two years of negotiations down to 2½ pages of purely aspirational goals.
  
While it recognises the scientific view that the increase in global temperature should be kept below 2 degrees, it does not set out a trajectory for achieving this.
  
In February, countries will list their emissions reduction targets, which will be voluntary. They will have little to do with climate science and everything to do with the political climate in capitals around the world.
  
If this is all the world can muster, we can expect a world that is 3.9 degrees warmer, year-round droughts in southern Africa, and water shortages affecting up to 4 billion additional people.
  
The promised $US100 billion a year by 2020, aimed at helping poor countries reduce their emissions and adapt to a changing climate, is less than half the amount needed. And the sad reality is the most vulnerable people will be lucky to get even a fraction of this amount, with rich countries likely to divert cash from existing aid commitments.
  
Nor is it clear how much will come from the public purse. But unless it does, there is no guarantee it will reach the right people in the right places. Crucially, the accord excludes the innovative revenue-raising mechanisms that could guarantee predictable flows of public money.
  
Developing countries were faced with an impossible choice between endorsing this inadequate compromise or watching the talks collapse. Access to money was offered only to those countries that agreed to the accord. But the accord is not legally binding, nor does it set a timeline for reaching a legally binding agreement. It has as much chance of being honoured as a New Year"s resolution.
  
We have no choice but to continue negotiating as soon as possible. A fair, safe and legally binding agreement must be reached in early 2010”.

 
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